Professor Jeremy Oakley
School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences
Head of School
Professor of Statistics
+44 114 222 3853
Full contact details
School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences
I16
Hicks Building
Hounsfield Road
91Ö±²¥
S3 7RH
- Profile
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Professor Oakley obtained his BSc (1996) in Mathematics and Statistics from the University of Nottingham, and his PhD (2000) in Statistics from the University of 91Ö±²¥. He has worked as a post- doctoral research associate in both the Department of Computer Science and Department of Probability and Statistics, University of 91Ö±²¥, before starting a lectureship in Probability and Statistics in 2002. He has various research interests in Bayesian statistics including uncertainty quantification for computer models, prior elicitation and Bayesian methods in health economics.
- Publications
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Show: Featured publications All publications
Featured publications
Journal articles
- . Scientific Reports, 12.
- . Frontiers in Physiology, 12.
- . Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 378(2173), ---.
- . IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, 67(1), 99-109.
- . Medical Decision Making, 38(4), 531-542.
- . Statistical science : a review journal of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 33(1), 4-18.
- . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 5(1), 694-719.
- . Technometrics, 59(1), 80-92.
- . Medical Decision Making, 34(3), 311-326.
- . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 2(1), 106-125.
- . Statistics in Medicine, 33(1), 31-45.
- . Environmental Modelling and Software, 52, 1-4.
- . Technometrics, 55(1), 47-56.
- Managing structural uncertainty in health economic decision models: A discrepancy approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics.
- . Pharmaceutical Statistics.
- . PLoS Computational Biology, 11(1), e1003968-e1003968.
All publications
Books
Journal articles
- . Scientific Reports, 12.
- . Frontiers in Physiology, 12, 765622-765622.
- . Frontiers in Physiology, 12.
- . European Child and Adolescent Psychiatry.
- . Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 378(2173), ---.
- . Medical Image Analysis, 61.
- . Health Technology Assessment, 24(11), 1-150.
- . IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, 67(1), 99-109.
- . PLoS ONE, 13(5).
- . Medical Decision Making, 38(4), 531-542.
- . Statistical science : a review journal of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 33(1), 4-18.
- . BMC Infectious Diseases, 17(557).
- . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 5(1), 694-719.
- . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 66(4), 717-740.
- . BMC Infectious Diseases, 17, 322-322.
- . Technometrics, 59(1), 80-92.
- . Medical Decision Making, 35(5), 570-583.
- . Medical Decision Making, 34(3), 311-326.
- . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 2(1), 106-125.
- . Statistics in Medicine, 33(1), 31-45.
- . Environmental Modelling and Software, 52, 1-4.
- . Trials, 14(S1).
- . Technometrics, 55(1), 47-56.
- . Med Decis Making, 33(6), 755-766.
- Bayesian sensitivity analysis of a nonlinear finite element model. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing.
- Managing structural uncertainty in health economic decision models: A discrepancy approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics.
- . Med Decis Making, 31(4), 571-581.
- . J Biomech, 44(8), 1499-1506.
- Quantifying Simulator Discrepancy in Discrete-Time Dynamical Simulators. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 1-17.
- . Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 16(4), 554-570.
- . Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 25(8), 2962-2975.
- . Journal of Biomechanics, 44(8), 1499-1506.
- . J Health Econ, 29(3), 468-477.
- . Med Decis Making, 29(6), 678-689.
- . PHARM STAT, 8(4), 371-389.
- . BIOMETRIKA, 96(3), 663-676.
- . TECHNOMETRICS, 51(2), 121-129.
- . J OPER RES SOC, 60(4), 506-518.
- . J Health Serv Res Policy, 13(2), 85-91.
- . European Journal of Health Economics, 9(3), 251-259.
- . BIOMETRIKA, 94(2), 427-441.
- . SAFETY SCI, 45(4), 523-539.
- Nonparametric elicitation for heavy-tailed prior distributions. BAYESIAN ANAL, 2(4), 693-718.
- Description of an individual patient methodology for calculating the cost-effectiveness of treatments for osteoporosis in women. J OPER RES SOC, 56(2), 214-221.
- . Health Technology Assessment, 9(22).
- Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach. J ROY STAT SOC B, 66, 751-769.
- . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics, 53(1), 83-93.
- Methods for expected value of information analysis in complex health economic models: developments on the health economics of interferon-beta and glatiramer acetate for multiple sclerosis.. Health technology assessment (Winchester, England), 8(27).
- . MED DECIS MAKING, 24(1), 89-100.
- . Biometrika, 89(4), 769-784.
- . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D: The Statistician, 51(1), 81-97.
- Assurance methods for designing a clinical trial with a delayed treatment effect. Statistics in Medicine.
- An extended isogeometric collocation method for fracture analysis. International Journal for Numerical Methods in Engineering.
- . European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry.
- . Pharmaceutical Statistics.
- . PLoS Computational Biology, 11(1), e1003968-e1003968.
Chapters
- , International Series in Operations Research & Management Science (pp. 19-51). Springer International Publishing
- , Simplicity, Complexity and Modelling (pp. 51-67). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 223-226). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 193-216). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 25-31). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 121-151). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 1-24). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 179-192). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 153-160). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 161-177). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 97-119). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 61-96). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 227-265). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- , Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (pp. 33-59). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
Conference proceedings papers
- . Proceedings of 2021 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC) (pp 1399-1405). Melbourne, Australia, 17 October 2021 - 20 October 2021.
- A FRAMEWORK FOR EXPERT ELICITATION RELATED TO COUNTERFACTUAL VALUES: A CASE STUDY OF ELICITATION TO INFORM SUBGROUP ANALYSES IN CLINICAL TRIALS. VALUE IN HEALTH, Vol. 25(1) (pp S274-S274)
- AN EXPLORATION OF THE TRADE-OFF BETWEEN FALSE NEGATIVES AND FALSE POSITIVES WHEN IDENTIFYING SUBGROUP EFFECTS. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(1) (pp E266-E267)
- A FRAMEWORK FOR EXPERT ELICITATION TO INFORM SUBGROUP ANALYSES IN CLINICAL TRIALS. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(5) (pp E410-E411)
- . 2019 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics (SMC) (pp 2148-2153). Bari, Italy, 6 October 2019 - 9 October 2019.
- Toward a unified framework for model calibration and optimisation in virtual engineering workflows. 2019 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS, MAN AND CYBERNETICS (SMC) (pp 3148-3153)
- . Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference (GECCO 2018) (pp 689-696), 15 July 2018 - 19 July 2018.
- EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS FOR HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT WITH LIMITED STUDIES. VALUE IN HEALTH, Vol. 20(9) (pp A770-A770)
- . E3S Web of Conferences, Vol. 7 (pp 04002-04002)
- . Value in Health, Vol. 18(7) (pp A725-A726)
- Bayesian sensitivity analysis of a large nonlinear model. 23rd International Conference on Noise and Vibration Engineering 2008, ISMA 2008, Vol. 6 (pp 3723-3736)
- The cost-effectiveness of bisphosphonates, raloxifene and teriparatide in women with a prior fracture, low BMD and replete of calcium and vitamin D. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S39-S39)
- The cost-effectiveness of calcium and vitamin D in women with low dietary calcium intake. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S39-S40)
- . RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, Vol. 85(1-3) (pp 239-248)
- The cost-effectiveness of bisphosphonates, raloxifene and hormone replacement therapy in women with established osteoporosis and replete of calcium and vitamin D. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S111-S111)
- The cost-effectiveness of calcium and vitamin D supplementation in women with low dietary intake of these nutrients and at risk of osteoporosis. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S87-S88)
- (pp 119-130)
- (pp 497-500)
- . Computing in Cardiology Conference (CinC)
- . 2018 Computing in Cardiology Conference (CinC), Vol. 45. Maastricht, The Netherlands, 23 September 2018 - 26 September 2018.
Posters
- POSB421 A Framework for Expert Elicitation Related to Counterfactual Values: A Case Study of Elicitation to Inform Subgroup Analyses in Clinical Trials..
- Evidence synthesis with limited studies. HTAi 2018, Vancouver, Canada.
- Evidence synthesis for health technology assessment with limited studies.. . ISPOR Glasgow 2017.
Preprints
- Research group
- Grants
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Current grants, as Coinvestigator
EPSRC Past grants, as Principal Investigator
Gaussian Process Emulators for Numerical Models INO EPSRC Match+ Past grants, as Coinvestigator
Development of a fully Bayesian framework for the identification and estimation of subgroup effects in Randomised Controlled Trials MRC Calibration and analysis of complex models: methodological development and application to explore the impact of HAART in Africa MRC Managing Uncertainty in Complex Models 2 (MUCM2) EPSRC EPSRC EPSRC EPSRC NERC EPSRC NERC NERC
- Teaching activities
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MAS113 Introduction to Probability and Statistics
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